trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 29% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 20% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 20% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 30 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 47% | 7% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 7% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 7% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 7% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 3% | -32.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $69 | −$2 | -2% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $74 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 12 | $36 | −$1 | -2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $27 | +$1 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 09 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 09 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 08 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%? | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Mar 24 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 53°F or below on March 23? | Mar 24 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $22 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | Mar 16 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 12 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today? | Mar 11 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 5? | Mar 06 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 06 | $6 | +$4 | +72% |
| Senators vs. Blackhawks | Mar 04 | $12 | −$2 | -15% |
| Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo | Mar 04 | $19 | −$4 | -23% |
| Indiana vs. Oregon | Mar 04 | $5 | $0 | -9% |
| Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-04? | Mar 03 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Le-Moyne vs. Stonehill | Mar 03 | $18 | +$7 | +39% |