Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:57:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B8 0xb829…9b19 crypto 1678 markets active 0h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$209 (+3%) realized +$209 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate65%1086W / 592L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day60.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days−$57
14 days−$455
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 504 -1.9% -11.2% 62% 43% -11.3%
≤30d 1678 -0.1% -9.6% 65% 49% -9.8%
≤90d 1678 -0.1% -9.6% 65% 49% -9.8%
all 1678 -0.1% -9.6% 65% 49% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 49% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 37% -18.5%
15% -26.1% 30% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 25% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$209
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1086 / 592
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1678 / 1678
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day60.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1678 Trades
no open positions (87 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$9 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$10 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records