trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 32 | -30.6% | -37.2% | 25% | 25% | -32.9% |
| ≤30d | 35 | -25.7% | -32.7% | 31% | 31% | -26.1% |
| ≤90d | 35 | -25.7% | -32.7% | 31% | 31% | -26.1% |
| all | 35 | -25.7% | -32.7% | 31% | 31% | -26.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.7% | 31% | -26.1% |
| 10% | -39.2% | 26% | -33.2% |
| 15% | -45.1% | 26% | -39.7% |
| 20% | -50.4% | 20% | -45.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 19¢ | $30 | $32 | +$2 (+6%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $30 | $20 | −$10 (-33%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $20 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $20 | −$12 | -61% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $15 | +$20 | +134% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $15 | +$32 | +206% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $82 | −$16 | -20% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $46 | −$15 | -33% |
| Spread: Portugal (-3.5) | Jun 17 | $21 | −$2 | -12% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | −$10 | -49% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +65% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $36 | +$49 | +134% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $30 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$3 | -9% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $20 | −$11 | -54% |
| Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $7 | +$4 | +55% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$8 | +39% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | Jun 12 | $40 | +$8 | +21% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Jun 12 | $40 | +$8 | +20% |