Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:50:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb836…df7c
crypto · 120 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses58 / 61
Open positions1
Markets (closed)119 / 120
History coverage56d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 53¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +80%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +85%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +80%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +75%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET May 13 $6 −$1 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET May 13 $5 −$4 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 13 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 13 $4 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 48m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 50m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 55m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -3.4% -12.6% 51% 51% +3.6%
≤30d 44 -2.3% -11.6% 52% 52% +2.3%
≤90d 119 -9.7% -18.3% 49% 48% -8.6%
all 119 -9.7% -18.3% 49% 48% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.3% 48% -8.6%
10% -26.1% 45% -17.3%
15% -33.2% 44% -25.3%
20% -39.8% 43% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.28 · official $1.50 (match) · 229 history records