trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 0% | 0% | -12.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 45% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 45% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 27 | +15.1% | +4.1% | 48% | 4% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.1% | 4% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -5.8% | 4% | -17.3% |
| 15% | -14.9% | 4% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -23.3% | 4% | -32.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $51 | $51 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 24 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $41 | −$2 | -4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 08 | $73 | $0 | +1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $11 | $0 | -2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $96 | +$1 | +1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 04 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 02 | $33 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? | Jul 17 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 27 | $2 | +$7 | +416% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 21 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025? | Jun 20 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? | Jun 19 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | Jun 19 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? | Jun 18 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in June? | Jun 17 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 17 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in June? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 15 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after | Jun 14 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30? | Jun 11 | $17 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 11 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jun 10 | $19 | $0 | -0% |