Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:41:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb83e…abf1
other · 251 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$94 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses8 / 243
Whale WR (big bets)5%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)251 / 251
History coverage132d
Avg bet$221
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 251 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$16
14 days−$25
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $56 $0 -1%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $536 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $178 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $205 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $438 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $523 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $217 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $605 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $255 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $57 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $122 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $57 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $219 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $620 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $309 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $200 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $240 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $663 −$1 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 08 $235 −$1 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 08 $292 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $242 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $348 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $450 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $376 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $615 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $325 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $228 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $315 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 06 $284 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $89 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $517 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $728 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $326 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $150 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $127 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $354 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $450 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $609 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $156 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $273 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $356 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $199 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 01 $63 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $503 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $63 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 31 $386 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $134 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $483 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $133 $0 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 30 $64 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$44
sports 28% −$22
politics 9% −$8
culture 7% −$7
economics 5% −$8
world 4% −$3
crypto 4% −$3
tech 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $55 45m
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $56 1h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $56 4h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $56 5h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $56 10h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $56 12h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $56 13h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $56 14h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $56 19h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $56 20h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $56 23h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $56 25h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $56 26h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $56 27h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $56 33h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $57 35h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $57 40h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $57 42h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $57 43h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $57 45h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $57 46h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $57 47h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $57 2d
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $57 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $57 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $57 2d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $57 2d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $57 2d
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $57 3d
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $57 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 74 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 183 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 251 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1378 history records