Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:19:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb83e…c821
crypto · 544 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$236 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$236 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$236
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses376 / 168
Open positions0
Markets (closed)544 / 544
Avg bet$15
Trades / day27.4
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 544 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$110
7 days+$214
14 days+$246
30 days+$265
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $37 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $48 −$8 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $48 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $32 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$20 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$236
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $24 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $21 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 249 +4.8% -5.2% 69% 20% -5.9%
≤30d 424 +3.9% -6.0% 68% 18% -6.4%
≤90d 544 +2.8% -7.0% 69% 26% -6.9%
all 544 +2.8% -7.0% 69% 26% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 26% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 10% -15.8%
15% -24.0% 3% -24.0%
20% -31.5% 1% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2101 history records