trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Over | 58¢ | 56¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 2? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 92°F or higher on June 1? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Team Yandex | 48¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | Over | 14¢ | 0¢ | $23 | $0 | −$23 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 3? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | Down | 4¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 3? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +33% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $2 | +$4 | +181% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | Jun 04 | $23 | −$23 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June | Jun 03 | $1 | +$1 | +72% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 2? | Jun 03 | $1 | +$2 | +193% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 2? | Jun 02 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 3? | Jun 02 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 2? | Jun 02 | $1 | +$1 | +66% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 1? | Jun 02 | $1 | +$2 | +169% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? | Jun 01 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 92°F or higher on June 1? | May 31 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5) | May 30 | $2 | +$1 | +73% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | May 30 | $27 | −$26 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | May 30 | $3 | −$1 | -31% |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 30 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +19.2% | +7.8% | 100% | 50% | -0.5% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 53% | 42% | -59.9% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 53% | 42% | -59.9% |
| all | 19 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 53% | 42% | -59.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.5% | 42% | -59.9% |
| 10% | -15.5% | 42% | -63.7% |
| 15% | -23.6% | 37% | -67.2% |
| 20% | -31.1% | 37% | -70.4% |