Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:48:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B8 0xb84c…4e3c crypto 1602 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (84 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$7 (+0%) realized +$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate97%1555W / 46L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day83.5pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$47
14 days−$38
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$32
other 3% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (84 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 557 -1.8% -11.1% 96% 0% -12.5%
≤30d 1601 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -9.1%
≤90d 1601 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -9.1%
all 1601 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 1% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -17.8%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 45% · top 2 46% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.19 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1555 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1601 / 1602
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day83.5
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1601 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records