Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb85b…c817
sports · 561 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$163 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$156 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$156
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses232 / 321
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions8
Markets (closed)553 / 561
History coverage64d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 8 History 553 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$29
14 days−$45
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 +$6 +190%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$3 +71%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +64%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Corner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +54%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $8 −$4 -45%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -79%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -91%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 +$6 +197%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$7 +142%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Team to Take First Corner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 −$4 -30%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 +$14 +666%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -46%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 +$3 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +132%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $18 −$10 -56%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Team to Take First Corner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +71%
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -83%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $34 +$9 +26%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $8 −$6 -74%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +22%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $6 −$5 -81%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 −$3 -62%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 +$3 +61%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -36%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -73%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $3 +$3 +109%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $1 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% −$59
other 24% −$19
crypto 23% −$89
politics 0% $0
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 36m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 36m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 37m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 38m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 38m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 38m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 41¢ $9 57m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 93¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 19¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Corner SELL United States 100¢ $3 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 91¢ $1 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 21¢ $3 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $3 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Corner BUY United States 64¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -12.9% -21.2% 32% 30% -19.1%
≤30d 186 -9.4% -18.0% 37% 31% -15.0%
≤90d 553 -12.2% -20.6% 42% 31% -14.5%
all 553 -12.2% -20.6% 42% 31% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 31% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 21% -22.7%
15% -35.1% 13% -30.2%
20% -41.5% 8% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.63 · official $7.63 (match) · 1769 history records