Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:24:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb87b…3626
crypto · 130 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$17,447 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17,883 · open +$436
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,999
Realized−$17,883
Unrealized+$436
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses68 / 55
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$3,314
Open positions7
Markets (closed)123 / 130
History coverage130d
Avg bet$1,065
Trades / day25.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 7 History 123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$403
7 days+$8,746
14 days−$256
30 days−$21,537
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1,248 $1,924 +$676 (+54%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1,872 $1,820 −$52 (-3%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1,650 $1,495 −$155 (-9%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 100¢ $230 $500 +$270 (+117%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $416 $260 −$156 (-38%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-99%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 25¢ 0¢ $2,570 $0 −$2,570 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 37¢ 0¢ $1,497 $0 −$1,497 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 11¢ 0¢ $649 $0 −$649 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Canadiens 9¢ 0¢ $3,832 $0 −$3,832 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Sabres Sabres 32¢ 0¢ $2,299 $0 −$2,299 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 28¢ 0¢ $3,277 $0 −$3,277 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 5¢ 0¢ $9,898 $0 −$9,898 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ 0¢ $1,586 $0 −$1,586 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 15¢ 0¢ $3,050 $0 −$3,050 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 18¢ 0¢ $2,258 $0 −$2,258 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Canadiens 35¢ 0¢ $3,516 $0 −$3,516 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Avalanche 33¢ 0¢ $6,600 $0 −$6,600 (-100%)
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 40¢ 0¢ $4,468 $0 −$4,468 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Hurricanes 22¢ 0¢ $550 $0 −$550 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 40¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $286 +$713 +249%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $3,050 −$3,050 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $720 +$2,740 +381%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $5,623 +$450 +8%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5,272 +$1,300 +25%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $6,203 +$6,593 +106%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $18,555 −$11,145 -60%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $7,193 +$6,759 +94%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $3,316 −$3,277 -99%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $2,595 −$2,570 -99%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 01 $1,605 −$1,586 -99%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 31 $2,060 +$937 +46%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 31 $2,000 +$997 +50%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 31 $1,115 +$883 +79%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 30 $9,967 −$9,898 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 28 $3,897 −$3,832 -98%
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights May 27 $6,621 −$6,600 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 26 $6,760 −$2,920 -43%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference? May 24 $400 −$400 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 23 $1,512 −$1,497 -99%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 22 $1,597 −$1,102 -69%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 19 $168 +$116 +69%
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5 May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 19 $100 +$16 +15%
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 19 $90 +$14 +15%
Solana Up or Down - February 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET May 19 $52 −$52 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET May 19 $91 −$16 -18%
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET May 19 $62 +$36 +58%
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 19 $131 +$45 +34%
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 19 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 19 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 19 $55 −$55 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 19 $60 −$60 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET May 19 $77 −$77 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 19 $93 −$32 -35%
Solana Up or Down - February 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 19 $54 −$54 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 19 $257 +$47 +18%
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET May 19 $154 −$134 -87%
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 12AM ET May 19 $200 −$200 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET May 19 $62 −$62 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET May 19 $130 −$130 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 19 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 10PM ET May 19 $163 +$29 +18%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 19 $55 −$55 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET May 19 $74 −$74 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 19 $40 −$40 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 19 $67 +$22 +33%
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 19 $120 +$85 +71%
Solana Up or Down - February 8, 4PM ET May 19 $60 −$60 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$16,136
crypto 9% −$1,446
other 4% +$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 8¢ $49 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $20 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $20 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $61 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $234 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $999 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $286 9h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $300 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $0 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $0 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $3 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $0 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $17 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $1 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $5 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $0 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $1 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $50 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $5 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $0 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $0 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $357 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $50 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $269 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $0 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $357 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $1 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $2 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $129 25h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 12¢ $177 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +309.5% +270.5% 83% 83% +88.6%
≤30d 68 -18.8% -26.6% 32% 32% -24.7%
≤90d 71 -15.9% -23.9% 35% 35% -23.7%
all 123 +17.7% +6.5% 55% 53% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.5% 53% -20.1%
10% -3.7% 45% -27.7%
15% ← realistic here -13.0% 37% -34.7%
20% -21.5% 29% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,999.25 · official $5,999.25 (match) · 3500 history records