Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:18:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb885…2c8b
crypto · 279 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$97 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$130
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses146 / 131
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions2
Markets (closed)277 / 279
History coverage114d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 277 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$30
14 days−$41
30 days−$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 34¢ 29¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner T1 41¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 +$5 +18%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$4 +67%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$4 +74%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $14 +$8 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$5 +51%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$4 +86%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 +$1 +17%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +56%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$2 -25%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +30%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 +$1 +99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +71%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 10 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$4 +790%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $4 −$3 -92%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$89
crypto 47% −$31
other 2% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 41¢ $1 16m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 90¢ $3 32m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 34¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 14¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 33¢ $2 21h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 5¢ $0 23h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 5¢ $1 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 61¢ $6 26h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 70¢ $5 26h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 55¢ $16 29h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 13¢ $3 29h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 10¢ $2 29h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Seattle Mariners 61¢ $16 30h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 58¢ $16 34h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 84¢ $29 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 8¢ $1 39h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 58¢ $5 41h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 10¢ $1 41h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $5 41h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 87¢ $10 43h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $3 43h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $3 43h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl SELL Geek Fam ID 20¢ $1 44h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 1 Winner BUY Geek Fam ID 44¢ $1 44h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl BUY Geek Fam ID 27¢ $1 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +3.2% -6.6% 54% 49% -19.6%
≤30d 135 -9.7% -18.3% 50% 45% -20.0%
≤90d 257 -10.1% -18.7% 51% 45% -20.1%
all 277 -8.6% -17.3% 53% 46% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 46% -17.1%
10% -25.2% 40% -25.0%
15% -32.4% 34% -32.3%
20% -39.1% 21% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.25 · official $5.23 (match) · 714 history records