Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T11:48:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B8 0xb886…f334 crypto 687 markets active 3d ago coverage 12d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (113 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,200 (-3%) realized −$1,200 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +103% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +56% what you keep after slip
Net edge+56%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate60%409W / 278L
Whale WR59%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$53per market
Trades / day113.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$3,559
14 days−$2,168
30 days−$2,466
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,426
world 0% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (113 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+83.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 179 +139.3% +116.5% 58% 52% -64.8%
≤30d 687 +102.8% +83.5% 60% 55% -17.8%
≤90d 687 +102.8% +83.5% 60% 55% -17.8%
all 687 +102.8% +83.5% 60% 55% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover113.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +83.5% 55% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here +65.9% 51% -25.6%
15% +49.9% 45% -32.8%
20% +35.2% 37% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +103% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 59% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +109% → late +97% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$49 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses409 / 278
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)687 / 687
History coverage12d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day113.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 687 Trades
no open positions (234 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 25 $184 −$177 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $114 −$110 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 25 $35 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $107 +$30 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 25 $51 −$49 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $46 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 25 $57 +$46 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $36 +$15 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 25 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 25 $38 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 25 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 25 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 25 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 25 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 25 $16 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $24 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 25 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 25 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$8 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 25 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 25 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 25 $8 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 25 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 25 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 25 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $95 +$33 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $16 +$52 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 25 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 25 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 25 $14 −$10 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $8 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$5 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $47 +$22 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $184 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $114 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $34 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $136 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $107 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $51 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $53 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $46 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $51 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $36 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $0 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1663 history records