trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +5.8% | -4.2% | 44% | 44% | +22.3% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +17.2% | +6.1% | 43% | 43% | +44.5% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +17.2% | +6.1% | 43% | 43% | +44.5% |
| all | 21 | +17.2% | +6.1% | 43% | 43% | +44.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.1% | 43% | +44.5% |
| 10% | -4.1% | 43% | +30.6% |
| 15% | -13.3% | 33% | +18.0% |
| 20% | -21.8% | 29% | +6.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 50¢ | 50¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $42 | +$20 | +49% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 21 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1 | +$7 | +622% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $42 | +$38 | +90% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $21 | +$19 | +90% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 19 | $32 | +$26 | +82% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $31 | +$11 | +34% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $31 | +$9 | +27% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $11 | +$28 | +262% |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Miwa Harimoto vs Miyu Nagasaki | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Jun 13 | $33 | +$71 | +219% |