Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8aa…0ae3
sports · 1104 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$1,284 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,287 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$298
Realized+$1,287
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses812 / 286
Est. fees paid−$438
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1098 / 1104
History coverage121d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day25.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 1098 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$147
7 days+$627
14 days+$502
30 days+$1,282
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 90¢ 90¢ $147 $146 −$1 (-1%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 83¢ 82¢ $113 $112 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+19%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 60¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 73¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 68¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 59¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 71¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 39¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 70¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 74¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season G2 Esports 75¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 59¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 72¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs Wolves (BO9) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2 AG Super Play 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner BNK FearX Youth 44¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 39¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 89¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner magic 67¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 87¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $363 −$13 -4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $122 +$44 +36%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $29 −$6 -22%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $99 +$23 +23%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $132 +$21 +16%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$35 +35%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $106 +$51 +48%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $80 +$27 +34%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $38 +$4 +10%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $101 +$37 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $113 +$27 +24%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $22 −$9 -42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $19 +$3 +15%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $100 +$20 +20%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $128 −$104 -81%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$20 +40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $99 +$11 +11%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 11 $122 +$32 +26%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $162 −$60 -37%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $115 +$12 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $101 −$37 -36%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $48 −$48 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $138 +$30 +22%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $27 +$10 +38%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 09 $107 +$11 +10%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$8 +8%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $94 +$9 +10%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $100 +$5 +5%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$4 +4%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $19 +$2 +10%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $21 +$5 +22%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $101 +$61 +60%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $50 +$16 +31%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $96 +$9 +10%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $24 −$24 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $50 +$16 +32%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $201 +$64 +32%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $50 +$13 +25%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $64 +$7 +11%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $61 +$4 +7%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $217 +$43 +20%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $71 −$70 -99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $200 +$15 +8%
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) Jun 07 $77 +$25 +33%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $21 +$8 +37%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $200 +$71 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $40 −$40 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $43 +$5 +11%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 07 $100 +$16 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,340
other 0% −$59
world 0% +$2
crypto 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 90¢ $147 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $58 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $60 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $27 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 82¢ $50 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 83¢ $50 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $19 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 31¢ $20 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 61¢ $40 9h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 99¢ $167 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 49¢ $73 9h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 72¢ $122 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 59¢ $23 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 66¢ $101 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $29 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 56¢ $109 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 99¢ $120 10h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 80¢ $99 10h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 51¢ $101 10h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 83¢ $114 11h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $4 12h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $112 12h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $40 12h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $157 12h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 89¢ $100 12h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 75¢ $32 12h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $132 13h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 74¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +5.9% -4.2% 81% 63% +0.1%
≤30d 370 +12.1% +1.4% 77% 62% -4.7%
≤90d 875 +5.1% -4.9% 74% 58% -8.9%
all 1098 +6.1% -4.0% 74% 59% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.0% 59% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.2% 30% -16.6%
15% -21.6% 15% -24.6%
20% -29.3% 7% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $297.77 · official $297.77 (match) · 3500 history records