trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $16 | −$14 | -87% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $7 | −$3 | -46% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $11 | −$10 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $22 | +$23 | +105% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $24 | −$10 | -43% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $133 | −$93 | -70% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $59 | −$54 | -90% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$83 | +389% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $91 | −$72 | -80% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? | Jun 13 | $42 | +$49 | +114% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $53 | +$4 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $6 | +$11 | +192% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $53 | +$51 | +96% |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $25 | −$18 | -71% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$8 | +86% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $14 | −$14 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -16.7% | -24.7% | 30% | 26% | -22.2% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -16.7% | -24.7% | 30% | 26% | -22.2% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -16.7% | -24.7% | 30% | 26% | -22.2% |
| all | 23 | -16.7% | -24.7% | 30% | 26% | -22.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -24.7% | 26% | -22.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -31.9% | 26% | -29.6% |
| 15% | -38.4% | 26% | -36.4% |
| 20% | -44.5% | 26% | -42.7% |