Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:42:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8b3…a419
crypto · 1055 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$201 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$201 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$201
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses512 / 543
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1055 / 1055
History coverage20d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day168.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1055 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days−$166
30 days−$201
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$9 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 05 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$7 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 05 $31 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 04 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 04 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 04 $10 +$2 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$201
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $9 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +5.0% -5.0% 62% 33% -6.3%
≤30d 1055 -0.7% -10.2% 49% 29% -10.8%
≤90d 1055 -0.7% -10.2% 49% 29% -10.8%
all 1055 -0.7% -10.2% 49% 29% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover168.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 29% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 17% -19.4%
15% -26.6% 7% -27.2%
20% -33.8% 4% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records