Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:34:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B8 0xb8b9…7657 crypto 1480 markets active 0h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$5,488 (-13%) realized −$5,488 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR73%break-even
Win rate78%1231W / 357L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day64.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,668
7 days−$2,649
14 days−$2,861
30 days−$2,668
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$774
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 272 -39.8% -45.6% 45% 45% -44.6%
≤30d 1367 -8.5% -17.2% 76% 72% -16.5%
≤90d 1588 -7.4% -16.3% 78% 73% -16.2%
all 1588 -7.4% -16.3% 78% 73% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 73% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 21% -24.2%
15% -31.6% 7% -31.6%
20% -38.3% 2% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$28 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,488
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1231 / 357
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1588 / 1480
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$29
Trades / day64.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1588 Trades
no open positions (357 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $12 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $22 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $19 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $24 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records