Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:58:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8cb…6e2a
crypto · 235 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$79 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses166 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)235 / 235
History coverage20d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day80.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 235 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days+$1
14 days−$28
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$5 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$5 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$5 +221%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$11 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -4.4% -13.5% 76% 46% -9.5%
≤30d 235 -5.8% -14.7% 71% 44% -14.8%
≤90d 235 -5.8% -14.7% 71% 44% -14.8%
all 235 -5.8% -14.7% 71% 44% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 44% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 23% -23.0%
15% -30.3% 13% -30.4%
20% -37.2% 9% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1866 history records