trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 20% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -9.2% | -17.9% | 18% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 22 | -11.9% | -20.3% | 27% | 9% | -13.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.3% | 9% | -13.8% |
| 10% | -27.9% | 9% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -34.9% | 9% | -29.6% |
| 20% | -41.3% | 5% | -36.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 17 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 03 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 01 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 31 | $73 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 30 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 29 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June? | Mar 31 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| NJIT vs. Binghamton | Mar 21 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025? | Mar 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Hornets | Mar 04 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Davidson vs. Loyola Chicago | Mar 04 | $51 | −$22 | -43% |
| Kings vs. Nuggets | Mar 04 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Trump say 'million' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 04 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05? | Mar 04 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Nuggets vs. Pacers | Mar 04 | $24 | +$24 | +100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on February | Feb 25 | $9 | −$6 | -68% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%? | Feb 24 | $6 | +$3 | +49% |
| Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of F | Feb 23 | $30 | $0 | +0% |