Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:47:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8e8…8dab
crypto · 117 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$849 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$849 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$849
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses51 / 102
Open positions1
Markets (closed)153 / 117
History coverage9d
Avg bet$166
Trades / day364.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$382
7 days−$558
14 days−$849
30 days−$849
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 64¢ 62¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$72 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $95 +$35 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$18 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $138 +$68 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$16 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$23 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$8 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$14 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$5 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$12 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$414
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $27 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $13 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $58 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $24 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $14 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-30.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -39.2% -45.0% 30% 22% -16.6%
≤30d 153 -23.1% -30.4% 33% 24% -13.4%
≤90d 153 -23.1% -30.4% 33% 24% -13.4%
all 153 -23.1% -30.4% 33% 24% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover364.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.4% 24% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -37.1% 11% -21.7%
15% -43.2% 7% -29.2%
20% -48.7% 5% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.88 · official $26.45 (match) · 3500 history records