Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8ea…6240
crypto · 1429 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,690 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,690 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,690
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses773 / 506
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1279 / 1429
History coverage14d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day195.4
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1279 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,132
7 days−$1,012
14 days+$2,690
30 days+$2,690
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7,969
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $19 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $14 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 777 -3.5% -12.7% 50% 50% -15.6%
≤30d 1279 +17.2% +6.0% 60% 60% +1.2%
≤90d 1279 +17.2% +6.0% 60% 60% +1.2%
all 1279 +17.2% +6.0% 60% 60% +1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover195.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.0% 60% +1.2%
10% ← realistic here -4.1% 60% -8.4%
15% -13.4% 60% -17.3%
20% -21.9% 60% -25.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records