Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:30:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8ee…7830
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$56 +56%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage14d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$66
14 days+$56
30 days+$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $47 +$49 +105%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$10 +158%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$13 +44%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $96 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $47 19h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $17 23h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $7 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $7 26h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $30 41h
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +51.6% +37.2% 75% 75% +57.0%
≤30d 5 +21.3% +9.8% 60% 60% +41.6%
≤90d 5 +21.3% +9.8% 60% 60% +41.6%
all 5 +21.3% +9.8% 60% 60% +41.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.8% 60% +41.6%
10% -0.8% 60% +28.1%
15% -10.3% 60% +15.7%
20% -19.1% 40% +4.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records