Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T20:12:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B9 0xb902…e40b crypto 1021 markets active 0h ago coverage 103d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$104 (+1%) realized +$103 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate93%949W / 71L
Drawdown63%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day10.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$26now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$103
7 days+$100
14 days+$100
30 days+$100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1019 +0.8% -8.8% 93% 11% -8.6%
≤30d 1019 +0.8% -8.8% 93% 11% -8.6%
≤90d 1019 +0.8% -8.8% 93% 11% -8.6%
all 1020 +0.7% -8.9% 93% 11% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 11% -8.6%
10% -17.6% 0% -17.3%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.3%
20% -32.9% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$9 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

103d coverage
Net worth$26
Realized+$103
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses949 / 71
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1020 / 1021
History coverage103d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1020 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 91¢ 96¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 56 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 27 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 27 $21 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 27 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 27 $17 +$2 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 27 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 27 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 27 $24 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 27 $7 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 27 $9 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 27 $7 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 27 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 27 $13 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 27 $24 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 27 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 27 $17 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 27 $22 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 27 $23 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 27 $22 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 27 $13 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 27 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 27 $11 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 27 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 27 $9 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 27 $7 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $12 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 27 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $12 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 27 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 27 $11 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8AM ET Jun 27 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 27 $9 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $8 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 27 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 27 $12 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $17 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $24 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $24 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $23 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $17 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $13 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.