Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb906…c281
sports · 1253 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$302 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$351 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$351
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses625 / 625
Est. fees paid−$63
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1250 / 1253
History coverage366d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 2 History 1250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$80
7 days−$155
14 days−$37
30 days−$757
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 58¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+72%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SK Gaming 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Magic (-7.5) Timberwolves 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-16.5) Lakers 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Ninjas in Pyjamas 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 67¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Esports Academy 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 83¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA Challengers 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-05-23? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 Over 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BC.Game Esports 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-15? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $6 +$7 +121%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $4 +$2 +59%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $5 +$2 +30%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $9 −$9 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 +$2 +24%
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $30 −$21 -71%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $27 +$30 +111%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $19 −$19 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +35%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$13 +42%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $12 −$12 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 +$2 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$3 +67%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 +$6 +76%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$3 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$120
other 30% −$169
world 4% −$77
crypto 1% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 58¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 59¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 58¢ $5 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 99¢ $13 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 44¢ $6 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 42¢ $7 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $6 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 91¢ $7 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $9 7h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $6 8h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $12 8h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 62¢ $4 9h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 69¢ $5 9h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $7 9h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $10 9h
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) BUY Cloud9 17¢ $4 19h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 60¢ $5 19h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $8 19h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 29¢ $5 19h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $30 22h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $25 23h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 45¢ $10 28h
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $5 30h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 54¢ $4 46h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $7 46h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 10¢ $3 46h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $4 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 -32.4% -38.9% 38% 38% -27.6%
≤30d 579 -19.3% -27.0% 38% 38% -28.6%
≤90d 1154 -6.2% -15.2% 49% 49% -15.6%
all 1250 -5.1% -14.2% 50% 50% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 50% -13.5%
10% -22.4% 45% -21.8%
15% -29.9% 39% -29.4%
20% -36.8% 31% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.85 · official $7.85 (match) · 2227 history records