Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T20:39:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B9 0xb910…cefd crypto 1405 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (148 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$27 (+0%) realized +$31 · open −$4
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate89%1247W / 157L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day148.4pace
Kalshi-fit58%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$8
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 58% +$82
other 42% −$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (148 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 956 +0.1% -9.5% 89% 45% -9.7%
≤30d 1404 -0.1% -9.6% 89% 43% -9.8%
≤90d 1404 -0.1% -9.6% 89% 43% -9.8%
all 1404 -0.1% -9.6% 89% 43% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover148.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 43% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 8% -18.4%
15% -26.1% 1% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$31
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1247 / 157
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1404 / 1405
History coverage10d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day148.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit58%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1404 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 157 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +19%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +33%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +18%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +20%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +10%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +60%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +19%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 47m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 52m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $0 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.03 (match) · 2654 history records