Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:41:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb912…a495
other · 39 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses1 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage75d
Avg bet$419
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $100 $0 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $41 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 13 $24 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $33 $0 -0%
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 10 $28 $0 -0%
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 10 $81 $0 -0%
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Jun 10 $1,341 −$1 -0%
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 10 $37 $0 -0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $1,271 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $35 $0 +0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 08 $1,343 −$2 -0%
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $1,236 −$2 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 07 $76 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 07 $1,237 −$1 -0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close Jun 07 $1,335 −$2 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $1,258 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $57 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? May 21 $29 $0 -1%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? May 21 $24 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 18 $45 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 18 $650 −$1 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first ro May 18 $33 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May? May 18 $682 −$1 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 17 $668 −$1 -0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 16 $677 −$9 -1%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 16 $742 −$1 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $677 $0 -0%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 15 $669 −$1 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 15 $37 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 15 $672 −$1 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 15 $671 −$1 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 08 $173 $0 -0%
Will Andrey Rublev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Apr 08 $29 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? Apr 08 $20 $0 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 04 $83 $0 -0%
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 04 $49 $0 -0%
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? Mar 30 $118 $0 -0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Mar 30 $14 $0 -0%
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament? Mar 30 $27 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 37% −$6
politics 30% −$14
world 16% −$4
economics 8% −$2
finance 4% −$1
culture 4% −$1
crypto 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $100 1h
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $84 1h
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $41 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 100¢ $12 1h
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 1h
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $21 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 100¢ $12 1h
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $20 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 100¢ $24 2h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $33 2d
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $28 2d
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $33 2d
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $28 2d
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL No 100¢ $58 3d
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $1,339 3d
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $23 3d
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $1,316 3d
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $12 3d
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $37 3d
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $23 3d
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $25 3d
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $927 3d
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $37 3d
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $342 3d
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,271 3d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,341 4d
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL No 100¢ $23 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $9 4d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,304 4d
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $23 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -0.1% -9.6% 6% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 31 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 39 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 39 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 130 history records