Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:39:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb914…47ae
other · 13 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$19 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized+$19
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions9
Markets (closed)4 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 9 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Yes 59¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 +$14 +165%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% +$19
sports 28% $0
crypto 9% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 74¢ $2 36m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 38m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $3 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 29¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 18h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 22¢ $4 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $23 18h
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 24h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 47¢ $7 24h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 24h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 24h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $5 24h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $5 24h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $9 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+49.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +65.1% +49.3% 50% 50% +72.0%
≤30d 4 +65.1% +49.3% 50% 50% +72.0%
≤90d 4 +65.1% +49.3% 50% 50% +72.0%
all 4 +65.1% +49.3% 50% 50% +72.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +49.3% 50% +72.0%
10% +35.0% 50% +55.6%
15% +22.0% 50% +40.5%
20% +10.0% 50% +26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.55 · official $36.56 (match) · 17 history records