trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +9.3% | -1.1% | 67% | 67% | +10.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +9.3% | -1.1% | 67% | 67% | +10.2% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +9.3% | -1.1% | 67% | 67% | +10.2% |
| all | 3 | +9.3% | -1.1% | 67% | 67% | +10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -1.1% | 67% | +10.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -10.6% | 33% | -0.3% |
| 15% | -19.2% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 20% | -27.1% | 0% | -18.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | No | 90¢ | 93¢ | $1,100 | $1,137 | +$37 (+3%) |
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | Up | 87¢ | 78¢ | $1,100 | $984 | −$116 (-11%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | $60 | $61 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 27¢ | 23¢ | $28 | $24 | −$4 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Jun 18 | $45 | +$5 | +11% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meet | Jun 18 | $156 | −$8 | -5% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $9,961 | +$2,223 | +22% |