Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:44:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B9 0xb940…23f6 crypto 1664 markets active 1h ago coverage 67d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 66d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$32 (+0%) realized +$32 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate91%1563W / 160L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day34.7pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$9now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$706
7 days−$703
14 days−$740
30 days−$798
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$131
other 7% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -34.1% -40.4% 65% 0% -71.5%
≤30d 593 -12.0% -20.4% 85% 0% -24.8%
≤90d 1723 -4.4% -13.5% 91% 0% -12.5%
all 1723 -4.4% -13.5% 91% 0% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 0% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 0% -20.9%
15% -29.3% 0% -28.5%
20% -36.3% 0% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$7 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.21 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

67d coverage
Net worth$9
Realized+$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1563 / 160
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1723 / 1664
History coverage67d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day34.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1723 Trades
no open positions (80 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 31h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 47h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.17 · official $9.17 (match) · 3500 history records