Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb941…3cdf
crypto · 197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$56 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses126 / 71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)197 / 197
History coverage106d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 197 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$41
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$18 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -71%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$2 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +41%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$44
sports 0% −$8
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $6 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 189 -3.1% -12.3% 65% 46% -10.9%
≤30d 189 -3.1% -12.3% 65% 46% -10.9%
≤90d 189 -3.1% -12.3% 65% 46% -10.9%
all 197 -4.1% -13.2% 64% 46% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 46% -11.4%
10% -21.5% 22% -19.9%
15% -29.1% 10% -27.6%
20% -36.0% 3% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 647 history records