Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T11:04:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb944…3a6e crypto 19 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$159 (+4%) realized +$159 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate53%10W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$196per market
Trades / day66.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -12.1% -20.5% 53% 42% -10.0%
≤30d 19 -12.1% -20.5% 53% 42% -10.0%
≤90d 19 -12.1% -20.5% 53% 42% -10.0%
all 19 -12.1% -20.5% 53% 42% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 42% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 37% -18.6%
15% -35.1% 26% -26.5%
20% -41.4% 11% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 37% · top 2 52% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -24% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$70 vs −$80 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$159
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses10 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)19 / 19
History coverage1d
Avg bet$196
Trades / day66.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 19 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 25 $206 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $103 +$55 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$28 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 25 $307 +$24 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 25 $103 −$80 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $102 +$29 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $203 −$55 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 25 $102 −$95 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 25 $207 +$92 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 25 $104 +$107 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $88 +$38 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 25 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 25 $206 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 25 $1,019 +$260 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 25 $208 −$199 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 25 $303 +$39 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 25 $103 +$48 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 25 $104 −$54 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 25 $101 +$8 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $160 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $40 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $18 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $34 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $34 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $34 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $138 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $130 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 69 history records