Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb945…db68
crypto · 46 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$757 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$784 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$252
Realized+$784
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses28 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)57 / 46
History coverage2d
Avg bet$638
Trades / day1661.7
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$599
7 days+$784
14 days+$784
30 days+$784
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 67¢ 76¢ $153 $173 +$21 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 31¢ 24¢ $106 $79 −$26 (-25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $159 −$159 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $428 −$57 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $368 −$16 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $457 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $750 +$47 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $229 −$108 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $788 −$166 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $975 −$69 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,009 +$101 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $443 +$53 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $809 −$19 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $893 +$15 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $407 +$27 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $629 +$447 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $834 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $793 +$78 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $657 −$17 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $560 +$251 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $430 +$109 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $422 +$15 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $944 −$30 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $387 +$25 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $500 −$26 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $387 −$151 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $608 +$135 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $440 −$84 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $406 −$18 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $203 −$67 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $424 −$18 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $224 −$13 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $615 +$188 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $150 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $515 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $1,011 +$80 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $709 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $1,101 +$98 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $995 −$78 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $1,024 +$68 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $522 +$53 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,056
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $23 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $22 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $23 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $21 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -19.3% -27.0% 49% 12% -7.1%
≤30d 57 -19.3% -27.0% 49% 12% -7.1%
≤90d 57 -19.3% -27.0% 49% 12% -7.1%
all 57 -19.3% -27.0% 49% 12% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1661.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.0% 12% -7.1%
10% -34.0% 9% -16.0%
15% ← realistic here -40.3% 4% -24.1%
20% -46.2% 2% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $252.47 · official $252.47 (match) · 3500 history records