Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:13:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb949…b91d
other · 233 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$67 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$78 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses10 / 222
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)232 / 233
History coverage124d
Avg bet$212
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 1 History 232 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$17
14 days−$29
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? No 98¢ 98¢ $52 $52 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 14 $252 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $342 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $323 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 13 $351 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $591 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $309 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $718 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $169 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $109 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $204 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $197 −$1 -1%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $369 −$1 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $151 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $347 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $362 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $502 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $370 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $92 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $260 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $56 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $532 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $293 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 08 $362 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $289 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $318 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 07 $837 −$3 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $475 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $723 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $578 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $600 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $656 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $117 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $144 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $513 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $58 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $369 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $467 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 04 $59 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 03 $609 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $485 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $380 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $138 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $214 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $192 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $60 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $252 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $141 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $346 −$1 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $346 −$1 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 28 $132 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$38
sports 20% −$17
culture 7% −$8
politics 7% −$4
crypto 6% −$3
economics 5% −$5
world 4% −$2
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $52 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $52 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $52 3h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $52 5h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $52 6h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $52 8h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $53 9h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $53 12h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $53 14h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $53 14h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $53 16h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $53 17h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $53 18h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $53 20h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $53 22h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $53 23h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $53 24h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $53 26h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $53 28h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $53 35h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $53 36h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $53 41h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $53 42h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $53 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $54 2d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $54 2d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $54 2d
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $54 2d
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $54 2d
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $44 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 74 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 182 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 232 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.18 · official $52.18 (match) · 1320 history records