Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:30:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb94c…b5b5
culture · 191 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$75,126 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56,264 · open −$18,912
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP culture specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$66,275
Realized−$56,264
Unrealized−$18,912
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses97 / 79
Whale WR (big bets)36%
Est. fees paid−$55
Open positions12
Markets (closed)176 / 191
History coverage67d
Avg bet$5,476
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 12 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$287
14 days−$27,101
30 days−$44,837
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 50¢ 83¢ $30,000 $50,070 +$20,070 (+67%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 50¢ 17¢ $30,000 $9,930 −$20,070 (-67%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m? No 99¢ 100¢ $2,973 $2,995 +$22 (+1%)
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m? Yes 8¢ 43¢ $291 $1,519 +$1,228 (+422%)
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m? Yes 79¢ 55¢ $864 $607 −$258 (-30%)
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m? No 25¢ 97¢ $72 $278 +$207 (+288%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m? No 99¢ 100¢ $268 $269 +$1 (+0%)
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m? No 88¢ 99¢ $196 $221 +$25 (+13%)
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? No 52¢ 84¢ $119 $194 +$75 (+63%)
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m? No 75¢ 96¢ $106 $135 +$29 (+28%)
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? Yes 2¢ 7¢ $11 $34 +$23 (+219%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? Yes 14¢ 1¢ $216 $21 −$195 (-90%)
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $417 −$417 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $274 −$274 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $290 −$4 -1%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 Jun 13 $394 +$390 +99%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43 Jun 13 $306 +$90 +30%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $230 +$270 +117%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $139 −$139 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $109 −$109 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $82 −$82 -100%
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? Jun 11 $2,106 −$1,002 -48%
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than Jun 11 $833 +$1 +0%
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3 Jun 11 $497 −$496 -100%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? Jun 11 $1,037 −$1,037 -100%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? Jun 11 $91 −$90 -100%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? Jun 11 $33 −$33 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $104 +$146 +140%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $206 +$44 +21%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $228 +$22 +10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $159 +$91 +57%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $186 +$64 +34%
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? Jun 11 $692 +$8 +1%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m? Jun 08 $27 $0 +0%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? Jun 08 $8,575 +$2,863 +33%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? Jun 08 $3,103 −$2,827 -91%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m? Jun 08 $61 $0 +0%
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3 Jun 08 $4,964 +$118 +2%
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater t Jun 08 $2,736 +$536 +20%
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2 Jun 08 $2,135 +$1,534 +72%
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m? Jun 08 $3,990 +$4 +0%
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m? Jun 08 $6,540 +$615 +9%
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? Jun 08 $9 $0 +0%
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m? Jun 08 $4,855 +$5 +0%
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m? Jun 08 $2,672 +$41 +2%
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Of Jun 08 $15 +$9 +64%
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m? Jun 06 $3 $0 +3%
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m? Jun 02 $6,129 −$6,129 -100%
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m? Jun 02 $121 −$115 -95%
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m? Jun 02 $4,985 −$4,985 -100%
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and Jun 02 $792 −$188 -24%
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m? Jun 02 $2,917 −$2,917 -100%
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m Jun 02 $935 +$119 +13%
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m Jun 02 $1,442 −$1,442 -100%
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m? Jun 02 $3,511 −$3,511 -100%
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be b Jun 02 $7,484 −$2,006 -27%
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m? Jun 02 $9,936 −$9,842 -99%
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater tha Jun 02 $1,144 −$1,144 -100%
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 61m? Jun 02 $1,423 −$1,423 -100%
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m? Jun 02 $182 −$182 -100%
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 49m and 53m? Jun 02 $554 −$554 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
culture 59% −$56,211
politics 28% $0
other 12% −$20,461
sports 1% +$1,497
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? SELL Yes 3¢ $3 2h
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m? BUY No 78¢ $32 2h
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m? SELL Yes 11¢ $52 3h
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m? BUY No 89¢ $20 3h
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m? BUY No 90¢ $45 3h
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m? BUY No 79¢ $19 3h
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m? BUY Yes 88¢ $530 4h
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m? BUY No 89¢ $22 5h
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m? BUY No 73¢ $56 5h
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m? BUY No 88¢ $57 5h
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? BUY No 62¢ $82 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $286 5h
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? SELL Yes 10¢ $30 5h
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m? SELL Yes 10¢ $62 6h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $12 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $11 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $5 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $5 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $5 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $5 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $10 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $5 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $30 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $31 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39 BUY No 99¢ $82 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $417 7h
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m? BUY No 86¢ $54 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $290 8h
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m? BUY Yes 1¢ $12 9h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 SELL Yes 87¢ $134 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -12.2% -20.6% 63% 31% -9.0%
≤30d 97 +4.6% -5.3% 55% 26% -18.5%
≤90d 176 +16.0% +4.9% 55% 27% -15.7%
all 176 +16.0% +4.9% 55% 27% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.9% 27% -15.7%
10% -5.1% 20% -23.7%
15% ← realistic here -14.3% 15% -31.1%
20% -22.7% 13% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66,274.81 · official $66,274.81 (match) · 2738 history records