Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:46:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb94e…f954
other · 448 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$366 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$350 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$350
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses122 / 315
Est. fees paid−$37
Open positions11
Markets (closed)437 / 448
History coverage69d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day15.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 11 History 437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$36
14 days−$103
30 days−$195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-42%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-16%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $19 +$10 +52%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 −$2 -22%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +20%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $8 −$1 -9%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Togo vs. Benin end in a draw? Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -7%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $11 +$2 +21%
Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-06-09? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Belarus vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? Jun 09 $1 +$3 +319%
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 $0 +16%
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $6 −$3 -48%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $18 −$1 -6%
Will Kosovo vs. Andorra end in a draw? Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Ōita Trinita vs. Montedio Yamagata end in a draw? Jun 07 $10 −$5 -46%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 07 $7 +$11 +159%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -26%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $9 +$9 +100%
Will Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw? Jun 07 $10 +$3 +32%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -93%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $28 +$3 +12%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 $0 +15%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -61%
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will England vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda end in a draw? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 07 $5 −$4 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 58% −$422
sports 28% −$71
crypto 5% −$25
politics 5% −$41
world 3% +$208
economics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 59¢ $2 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $6 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 33¢ $3 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 4h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 90¢ $7 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 87¢ $7 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 85¢ $2 18h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 82¢ $7 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 71¢ $8 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 18h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 49¢ $3 18h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 44¢ $3 18h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 23¢ $3 18h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 30¢ $4 19h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $4 19h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 39¢ $4 19h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 27¢ $4 19h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 21h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 24h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 84¢ $12 26h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -51.8% -56.4% 23% 21% -20.3%
≤30d 105 -25.2% -32.3% 25% 24% -33.5%
≤90d 437 -17.8% -25.6% 28% 27% -17.7%
all 437 -17.8% -25.6% 28% 27% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.6% 27% -17.7%
10% -32.7% 22% -25.6%
15% -39.2% 20% -32.8%
20% -45.2% 16% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.08 · official $8.08 (match) · 1377 history records