Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb953…5393
sports · 714 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$2,088 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,088 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,088
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses363 / 350
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$1,538
Open positions0
Markets (closed)713 / 714
History coverage109d
Avg bet$181
Trades / day18.5
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 713 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$434
7 days−$978
14 days+$170
30 days+$1,469
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 57¢ $228 $0 −$228 (-100%)
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? No 26¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 10¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) DN SOOPers 44¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 62¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 FURIA Esports 44¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner LYON 53¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 40¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs Eternal Fire 41¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 55¢ $276 $0 −$276 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 51¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega FURIA Esports 55¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner paiN Gaming 18¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 51¢ $231 $0 −$231 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner Team Lynx 51¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) Sentinels 35¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Vici Gaming 37¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 60¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Movistar KOI 35¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 55¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 50¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 24¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winner EDward Gaming 54¢ $228 $0 −$228 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 47¢ $284 $0 −$284 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 53¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$11 -11%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $91 +$16 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $139 +$61 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $182 +$222 +122%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $219 −$216 -99%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $214 +$115 +54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $123 +$77 +62%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $161 +$91 +56%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $137 −$17 -13%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $107 −$106 -99%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $132 +$68 +52%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $137 +$163 +120%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $123 +$77 +62%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $109 +$91 +84%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $161 −$160 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $107 −$106 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $90 −$89 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $103 −$101 -98%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $104 −$103 -98%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $104 +$96 +92%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $105 +$135 +129%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $148 +$152 +103%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $105 −$104 -99%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Ruddy Sack (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Jun 08 $48 +$2 +5%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $103 +$117 +114%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $158 +$126 +80%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $134 +$66 +49%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $160 +$140 +88%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $103 −$101 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $115 +$85 +73%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $204 −$202 -99%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $74 −$72 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $199 +$201 +101%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $235 −$231 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $285 −$22 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 7? Jun 07 $37 −$37 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 7? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $97 +$103 +105%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $107 −$106 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $212 +$188 +89%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $209 −$208 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $202 −$202 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $278 −$276 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $102 −$101 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $102 −$100 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 6? Jun 07 $196 −$38 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 6? Jun 07 $5 +$1 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$2,363
other 1% −$434
weather 1% −$36
world 0% +$62
politics 0% +$133
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $91 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 34¢ $100 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 34¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 54¢ $107 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 45¢ $49 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 45¢ $42 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $96 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $139 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $81 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $45 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $16 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $2 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $5 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $4 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $2 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $3 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -15.4% -23.4% 44% 42% -19.5%
≤30d 227 +0.8% -8.8% 51% 50% -5.3%
≤90d 656 -3.3% -12.5% 50% 48% -8.5%
all 713 -1.6% -11.0% 51% 49% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 49% -8.0%
10% -19.5% 47% -16.8%
15% -27.3% 45% -24.8%
20% -34.4% 43% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $5.00 · 2514 history records