Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T17:27:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
B9 0xb955…58ff crypto 40 markets active 1h ago coverage 36d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$570 (+4%) realized +$570 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -8% what you keep after slip
Net edge-8%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate98%39W / 1L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$377per market
Trades / day6.4pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$137
14 days+$392
30 days+$514
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$542
other 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +5.8% -4.3% 100% 25% -6.5%
≤30d 31 +2.0% -7.7% 97% 13% -6.3%
≤90d 40 +5.9% -4.2% 98% 18% -6.2%
all 40 +5.9% -4.2% 98% 18% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.2% 18% -6.2%
10% -13.3% 5% -15.2%
15% -21.7% 5% -23.4%
20% -29.4% 2% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$645) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +7% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$78 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×7.98 per $1 lost it wins $7.98
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$570
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses39 / 1
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage36d
Avg bet$377
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 40 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? Jun 27 $569 +$10 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26? Jun 26 $25 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 26? Jun 26 $4 +$1 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 24? Jun 24 $4 +$1 +15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $964 +$81 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $643 +$6 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $932 +$26 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 20? Jun 21 $919 +$13 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $854 +$66 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 19? Jun 19 $827 +$22 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $804 +$26 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 16? Jun 16 $193 +$7 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $549 +$57 +10%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 15? Jun 16 $738 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $670 +$66 +10%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $666 +$6 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $645 +$20 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $147 +$15 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $330 +$16 +5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 10? Jun 11 $609 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $574 +$35 +6%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 9? Jun 10 $438 +$4 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $131 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 5? Jun 05 $562 +$7 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $549 +$6 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $531 +$25 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $120 +$9 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $83 −$78 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $195 +$5 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31? May 31 $176 +$19 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30? May 30 $202 +$34 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28? May 28 $140 +$10 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 27? May 27 $122 +$13 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26? May 26 $4 +$1 +19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 25? May 25 $121 +$4 +3%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $3 +$2 +67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24? May 24 $9 +$1 +8%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $3 +$2 +50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 23? May 23 $5 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 22? May 22 $4 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? SELL Yes 100¢ $579 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 99¢ $46 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 99¢ $57 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 99¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 99¢ $198 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 99¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 98¢ $55 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 98¢ $92 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 96¢ $14 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 96¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 92¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 97¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 98¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 98¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 87¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 81¢ $4 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26? SELL Yes 100¢ $26 25h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 26h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 26h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 26? SELL Yes 99¢ $5 26h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 26? BUY Yes 87¢ $1 26h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 26? BUY Yes 87¢ $3 26h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 26? BUY Yes 87¢ $1 26h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26? BUY Yes 95¢ $6 26h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 24? BUY Yes 87¢ $3 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 24? BUY Yes 87¢ $2 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23? SELL Yes 100¢ $575 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23? SELL Yes 100¢ $142 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23? SELL Yes 100¢ $327 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 232 history records