Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T22:08:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
B9 0xb960…6a9a other 1352 markets active 0h ago coverage 126d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$20 (+0%) realized +$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%1350W / 2L
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day10.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit49%portable
Net worth$20now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$3
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 51% +$15
sports 45% +$3
politics 1% $0
world 1% $0
tech 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
finance 0% $0
weather 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 498 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 1028 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.3%
all 1352 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 1% -9.3%
10% -17.9% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×4.85 per $1 lost it wins $4.85
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

126d coverage
Net worth$20
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1350 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1352 / 1352
History coverage126d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day10.8
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit49%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1352 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Egil Selvik: 4+ saves Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 1+ goals Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ assists Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Rayan Cherki: 2+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $405-$410 on the final day of trading of th Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Tim Weah: 1+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Kenan Yıldız: 3+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Arda Güler: 3+ goals + assists Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Arda Güler: 3+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Álex Arce: 1+ goals Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Mo Touré: 1+ assists Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Kai Havertz: 1+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Cody Gakpo: 3+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Alexander Isak: 2+ goals + assists Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assists Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Guus Til: 1+ goals Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will Trump's remarks not air? Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SaD Esports (-3.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+3.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Manuel Neuer: 4+ saves Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Simon Adingra: 3+ goals Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Franck Kessié: 3+ goals + assists Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Moisés Ramírez: 4+ saves Jun 25 $4 $0 +0%
Jamie Leweling: 2+ shots on target Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Bazoumana Touré: 2+ goals Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Czechia vs Mexico Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: UNO MILLE (-3.5) vs Keyd (+3.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: CGN Esports (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will Darden Restaurants say "Discount" during earnings call? Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-9.5) vs 9INE (+9.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Set 2 Winner: Meza/Tobon vs Prashanth/Ramanathan Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Liu (-1.5) vs Pridankina (+1.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-6.5) vs AM Gaming (+6.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Jong (-1.5) vs Balciunas (+1.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Mejia vs. Schoolkate: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Liu vs Pridankina Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will Spain be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Adam Hložek: 1+ shots on target Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Patrik Schick: 3+ shots on target Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FlyQuest (-2.5) vs Division One (+2.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Iqraam Rayners: 2+ goals + assists Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Lee Jaesung: 3+ shots Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Lee Donggyeong: 2+ shots Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Egil Selvik: 4+ saves BUY Yes 100¢ $5 25m
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 29m
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 36m
Rayan Cherki: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 47m
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $405-$410 on the final day of trading of th BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Tim Weah: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 15h
Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 16h
Kenan Yıldız: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 17h
Arda Güler: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 17h
Arda Güler: 3+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 17h
Mo Touré: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 18h
Álex Arce: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 18h
Kai Havertz: 1+ shots on target BUY Yes 100¢ $5 20h
Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 20h
Cody Gakpo: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 20h
Alexander Isak: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Guus Til: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Manuel Neuer: 4+ saves BUY No 100¢ $5 23h
Will Trump's remarks not air? BUY No 100¢ $5 23h
Franck Kessié: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 23h
Simon Adingra: 3+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 23h
Jamie Leweling: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 24h
Bazoumana Touré: 2+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 24h
Moisés Ramírez: 4+ saves BUY No 100¢ $4 24h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SaD Esports (-3.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+3.5) BUY Nightblood Gaming 100¢ $5 25h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.00 · official $20.00 (match) · 3015 history records