Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb961…1ef7
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses27 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage10d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$6
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 06 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 06 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 05 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 05 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 04 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 04 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 04 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 03 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 03 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -3.6% -12.8% 72% 72% -12.3%
≤30d 37 -0.4% -9.9% 73% 65% -11.5%
≤90d 37 -0.4% -9.9% 73% 65% -11.5%
all 37 -0.4% -9.9% 73% 65% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 65% -11.5%
10% -18.5% 46% -20.0%
15% -26.4% 27% -27.7%
20% -33.6% 22% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 66 history records