Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T00:55:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb964…033e sports 231 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (115 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,301 (+2%) realized +$1,344 · open −$43
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +32% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +1% what you keep after slip
Net edge+1%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate55%127W / 102L
Whale WR70%big bets
Drawdown38%max
Avg bet$267per market
Trades / day114.8pace
Fees−$688est.
Kalshi-fit58%portable
Net worth$7now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days+$142
14 days+$641
30 days+$887
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 49% +$127
sports 47% +$620
crypto 3% +$123
world 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (115 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 +46.7% +32.7% 54% 16% -9.1%
≤30d 229 +31.6% +19.1% 55% 21% -7.8%
≤90d 229 +31.6% +19.1% 55% 21% -7.8%
all 229 +31.6% +19.1% 55% 21% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover114.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.1% 21% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here +7.7% 11% -16.7%
15% -2.7% 9% -24.7%
20% -12.3% 6% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +32% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 70% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +17% → late +46% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
8.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$22 vs −$19 · ×1.17 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.47 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$7
Realized+$1,344
Unrealized−$43
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses127 / 102
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$688
Open positions8
Markets (closed)229 / 231
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$267
Trades / day114.8
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit58%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 8 History 229 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Over 2¢ 1¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-28%)
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+79%)
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? No 14¢ 15¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5 Over 2¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$2 (-73%)
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 12¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Netherlands? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 57 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5 Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-24? Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24? Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-25? Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-05-24? Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-25? Jun 26 $0 −$20 -12040%
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? Jun 26 $780 +$16 +2%
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 Jun 26 $55 +$3 +5%
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 0 Sweden? Jun 26 $5 $0 +6%
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 Jun 26 $216 +$6 +3%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $111 +$12 +11%
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5 Jun 26 $389 +$12 +3%
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5 Jun 26 $158 −$1 -1%
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden? Jun 26 $595 +$39 +6%
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Netherlands? Jun 25 $77 −$1 -1%
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $153 −$1 -1%
Exact Score: Curaçao 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire? Jun 25 $275 +$8 +3%
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5 Jun 25 $4 −$2 -58%
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany? Jun 25 $443 +$5 +1%
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $111 +$3 +3%
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 25 $294 +$11 +4%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $72 −$1 -2%
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany? Jun 25 $555 +$16 +3%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5 Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $984 −$44 -4%
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 25 $7 −$7 -100%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 Jun 25 $8 −$8 -100%
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq? Jun 25 $664 −$96 -14%
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq? Jun 25 $208 −$108 -52%
Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 2 Haiti? Jun 25 $111 −$111 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 25 $66 −$66 -100%
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Korea Republic? Jun 25 $41 +$3 +7%
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 25 $60 −$4 -7%
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico? Jun 25 $350 +$15 +4%
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-27? Jun 25 $171 −$50 -29%
Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 25 $354 +$6 +2%
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil? Jun 25 $1,301 +$8 +1%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $111 +$18 +16%
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 Jun 25 $418 +$1 +0%
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 Jun 24 $798 −$19 -2%
Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 2 Haiti? Jun 24 $343 +$7 +2%
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5 Jun 24 $386 −$6 -2%
Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 2 Haiti? Jun 24 $164 +$13 +8%
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil? Jun 24 $72 +$4 +6%
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5 Jun 24 $166 −$6 -3%
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 Jun 24 $514 +$25 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? SELL Yes 88¢ $116 0m
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? BUY Yes 88¢ $111 0m
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? BUY Yes 85¢ $5 1m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? SELL Yes 96¢ $112 1m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? BUY Yes 95¢ $23 2m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? BUY Yes 95¢ $27 2m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? BUY Yes 95¢ $35 2m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? BUY Yes 95¢ $25 2m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? BUY Yes 95¢ $2 2m
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 13¢ $0 2m
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? SELL Yes 84¢ $0 2m
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? SELL Yes 84¢ $45 2m
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? BUY Yes 83¢ $45 2m
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 2¢ $2 4m
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? BUY No 18¢ $0 4m
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 2¢ $2 6m
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? SELL Yes 77¢ $45 6m
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? SELL Yes 77¢ $69 6m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? SELL Yes 78¢ $9 6m
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? SELL Yes 77¢ $6 6m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? SELL No 20¢ $27 6m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? BUY Yes 77¢ $9 6m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? BUY No 20¢ $28 6m
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 2¢ $1 7m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? SELL No 24¢ $19 7m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? SELL No 24¢ $2 7m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? SELL No 24¢ $14 7m
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 2¢ $0 7m
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands? BUY No 23¢ $33 7m
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 2¢ $0 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.16 · official $9.06 · 3500 history records