Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:57:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb968…4b8e
weather · 209 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$550 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$550 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$550
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses149 / 60
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)209 / 209
History coverage57d
Avg bet$105
Trades / day18.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 209 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$34
14 days−$45
30 days−$455
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $130 −$3 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $140 −$8 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $43 −$6 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $116 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 13 $38 −$2 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $78 +$3 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $43 −$1 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 12 $43 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $109 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $171 +$17 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $63 −$5 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $107 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $176 +$10 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 9? Jun 09 $48 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $126 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 10? Jun 09 $141 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 9? Jun 09 $170 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 9? Jun 09 $161 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $124 −$31 -25%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 8? Jun 08 $168 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $145 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 7? Jun 07 $17 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 7? Jun 07 $29 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6? Jun 06 $146 −$7 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 6? Jun 06 $64 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5? Jun 05 $32 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5? Jun 05 $221 +$5 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 5? Jun 05 $142 −$19 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 5? Jun 05 $37 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 4? Jun 04 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2? Jun 02 $82 +$3 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 26? May 26 $279 −$246 -88%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26? May 26 $220 −$128 -58%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 25? May 25 $359 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 24? May 24 $148 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 23? May 23 $295 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 23? May 23 $46 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 22? May 22 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22? May 22 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on May 21? May 21 $130 +$9 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 21? May 21 $91 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 17? May 21 $63 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 17? May 21 $108 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on May 17? May 17 $56 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 17? May 17 $166 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 16? May 17 $38 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 16? May 17 $105 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16? May 17 $284 +$60 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 16? May 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$550
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 89¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 90¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 90¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 83¢ $18 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 89¢ $130 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $116 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $116 3h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? SELL Yes 85¢ $36 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? BUY Yes 88¢ $38 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL Yes 95¢ $41 9h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL Yes 89¢ $74 10h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $140 11h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 81¢ $0 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 86¢ $3 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 85¢ $12 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 88¢ $3 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 87¢ $9 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 87¢ $5 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 87¢ $4 12h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY Yes 85¢ $43 13h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? SELL Yes 90¢ $52 15h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? SELL Yes 90¢ $2 15h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? SELL Yes 89¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? SELL Yes 88¢ $2 15h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 88¢ $78 15h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? SELL Yes 96¢ $34 18h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $43 18h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $15 21h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $15 21h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $109 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -1.9% -11.2% 23% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 65 -7.1% -16.0% 57% 2% -14.1%
≤90d 209 -5.6% -14.6% 71% 4% -11.8%
all 209 -5.6% -14.6% 71% 4% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 4% -11.8%
10% -22.7% 2% -20.2%
15% -30.2% 1% -27.9%
20% -37.1% 1% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1179 history records