Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T23:49:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
B9 0xb96a…cc1b crypto 56 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (186 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,267 (+17%) realized +$1,267 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate64%36W / 20L
Drawdown50%max
Avg bet$130per market
Trades / day186.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,063
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (186 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +0.2% -9.4% 64% 59% +3.7%
≤30d 56 +0.2% -9.4% 64% 59% +3.7%
≤90d 56 +0.2% -9.4% 64% 59% +3.7%
all 56 +0.2% -9.4% 64% 59% +3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover186.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 59% +3.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 46% -6.2%
15% -26.0% 36% -15.3%
20% -33.2% 23% -23.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +15% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late +13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$64 vs −$62 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.86 per $1 lost it wins $1.86
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,267
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses36 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage1d
Avg bet$130
Trades / day186.0
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 56 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 29 $153 +$66 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 29 $52 +$62 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 29 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 29 $564 −$53 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 29 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 29 $103 +$74 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 29 $430 +$89 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 29 $231 +$71 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 29 $283 +$75 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 29 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 29 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 29 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 29 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 29 $308 −$308 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 29 $52 +$65 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 29 $254 +$87 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 29 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 29 $104 +$129 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 29 $204 +$81 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 29 $614 −$93 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 29 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 29 $182 +$285 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 29 $356 +$116 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 29 $160 +$149 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 29 $204 +$85 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 29 $154 +$74 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 29 $381 +$66 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 29 $51 +$32 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 29 $154 +$82 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 29 $357 +$289 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 29 $131 −$76 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 29 $178 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 29 $77 +$32 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 29 $52 +$55 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 29 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 29 $35 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 29 $50 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 29 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 29 $127 +$46 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 29 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 29 $57 +$49 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 29 $25 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 29 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 29 $31 +$18 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $106 +$18 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $51 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $51 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $52 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $51 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $52 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $51 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $52 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $51 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $51 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $16 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $51 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $52 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $51 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $51 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $51 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $51 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 250 history records