Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:17:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb97e…df66 other 13 markets active 2d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$97 (-23%) realized −$10 · open −$87
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day26.0pace
Kalshi-fit8%portable
Net worth$320now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 98% −$90
world 2% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$8 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$320
Realized−$10
Unrealized−$87
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions12
Markets (closed)1 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit8%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 12 History 1 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $100 $83 −$17 (-17%)
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $100 $61 −$39 (-39%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 13¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+17%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Qatar? Jun 18 $8 −$8 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 36h
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 36h
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 36h
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $31 36h
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $31 36h
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $31 36h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Qatar? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 36h
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $31 37h
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $31 37h
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $31 37h
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 37h
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 37h
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 37h
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $31 37h
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $31 37h
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $31 37h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $7 37h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 37h
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 37h
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 37h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 37h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 13¢ $21 38h
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 38h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 38h
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 38h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $319.71 · official $319.71 (match) · 27 history records