Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:24:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb987…5423 crypto 280 markets active 6d ago coverage 11d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$57 (-3%) realized −$57 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate60%168W / 112L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day38.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$75
14 days−$76
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -9.6% -18.2% 63% 60% -17.5%
≤30d 280 -8.7% -17.4% 60% 58% -14.0%
≤90d 280 -8.7% -17.4% 60% 58% -14.0%
all 280 -8.7% -17.4% 60% 58% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 58% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 49% -22.2%
15% -32.5% 35% -29.7%
20% -39.1% 26% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses168 / 112
Open positions0
Markets (closed)280 / 280
History coverage11d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day38.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 280 Trades
no open positions (111 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 577 history records