Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:48:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb998…8d3e
crypto · 1297 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$392 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$393 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$393
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses918 / 675
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1593 / 1297
History coverage10d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day252.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1593 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$968
7 days−$700
14 days−$393
30 days−$393
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 60¢ 69¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$627
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-26.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1164 -28.5% -35.4% 52% 35% -17.5%
≤30d 1593 -18.2% -26.0% 58% 40% -12.4%
≤90d 1593 -18.2% -26.0% 58% 40% -12.4%
all 1593 -18.2% -26.0% 58% 40% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover252.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.0% 40% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -33.1% 27% -20.7%
15% -39.5% 17% -28.4%
20% -45.5% 10% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.73 · official $3.92 · 3500 history records