trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 0% | 0% | -11.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 10% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 10% | 0% | -10.6% |
| all | 23 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 35% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.9% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -17.6% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $27 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 04 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 03 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 01 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 30 | $36 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $35 | −$2 | -6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 29 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | Dec 12 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 29 | $4 | $0 | +10% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 24 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? | May 22 | $7 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | May 21 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after th | May 21 | $9 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 16–23? | May 20 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Metallic Rouge' win Crunchyroll's Best Original Anime Award for | May 19 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'My Hero Academia: You’re Next' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Yea | May 19 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese leg | May 18 | $14 | +$1 | +6% |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday? | May 16 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | May 16 | $24 | $0 | +0% |