Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:42:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9a1…b987
crypto · 28 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$12 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses15 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day42.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$9 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $8 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +8.5% -1.9% 54% 50% -2.7%
≤30d 28 +8.5% -1.9% 54% 50% -2.7%
≤90d 28 +8.5% -1.9% 54% 50% -2.7%
all 28 +8.5% -1.9% 54% 50% -2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.9% 50% -2.7%
10% ← realistic here -11.3% 46% -12.0%
15% -19.8% 46% -20.5%
20% -27.7% 39% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 52 history records