Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:38:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9b0…aea0
crypto · 265 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$86 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$350
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses237 / 21
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions7
Markets (closed)258 / 265
History coverage81d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 7 History 258 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$145
14 days−$108
30 days−$477
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 98¢ 98¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 98¢ 98¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 12, 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 98¢ 97¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? No 99¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Trump visit China by May 15? No 40¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Worl Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Ermedin Demirović: 2+ goals Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $355? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $50 −$6 -11%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 -0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 −$6 -13%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 −$6 -12%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $50 −$7 -13%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 11? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 11? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $50 +$1 +3%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $100 +$2 +2%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 +$2 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 +$3 +5%
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May? Jun 11 $50 +$1 +1%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $50 +$1 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +1%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $50 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $50 +$1 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 $0 +1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 +$1 +1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 −$5 -11%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 +$1 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 +$1 +2%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 39% +$56
other 20% −$55
finance 12% +$11
world 7% −$377
weather 6% −$83
politics 6% −$140
sports 4% +$497
tech 3% +$4
culture 3% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' BUY No 98¢ $50 13m
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Sp BUY No 98¢ $50 46m
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Worl BUY Yes 99¢ $50 1h
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $50 1h
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac BUY No 98¢ $50 1h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 87¢ $44 7h
Ermedin Demirović: 2+ goals BUY No 99¢ $50 9h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 98¢ $50 9h
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $355? BUY Yes 99¢ $50 9h
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 99¢ $50 9h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 97¢ $50 9h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $50 12h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $50 12h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? SELL No 86¢ $44 12h
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June BUY No 99¢ $50 12h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? SELL Yes 88¢ $44 12h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? SELL No 87¢ $44 12h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $50 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $50 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $50 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $50 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $50 13h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $50 15h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $50 17h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? SELL No 85¢ $43 23h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $50 24h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $50 24h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $50 24h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? BUY No 97¢ $50 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -1.6% -10.9% 90% 0% -11.4%
≤30d 248 -1.1% -10.5% 94% 0% -11.8%
≤90d 258 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 2% -9.9%
all 258 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 2% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 2% -9.9%
10% -18.4% 2% -18.5%
15% -26.3% 2% -26.4%
20% -33.5% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $349.50 · official $349.50 (match) · 567 history records