Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T01:49:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
B9 0xb9b2…d979 crypto 217 markets active 2h ago coverage 72d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$74 (+4%) realized +$74 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate52%113W / 104L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day7.7pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$7
14 days−$118
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$36
other 4% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +0.3% -9.2% 58% 58% -10.6%
≤30d 82 -21.7% -29.2% 45% 45% -24.7%
≤90d 217 -10.6% -19.1% 52% 51% -8.5%
all 217 -10.6% -19.1% 52% 51% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 51% -8.5%
10% -26.8% 45% -17.3%
15% -33.9% 35% -25.3%
20% -40.4% 24% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$7 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

72d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses113 / 104
Open positions0
Markets (closed)217 / 217
History coverage72d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 217 Trades
no open positions (77 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 29 $40 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 28 $24 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 28 $2 +$20 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 28 $15 +$6 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 28 $43 −$42 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 28 $20 +$31 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 28 $52 +$18 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 28 $20 +$16 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 28 $18 +$7 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 28 $34 +$17 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 28 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 28 $9 +$6 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 28 $24 +$7 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $18 −$17 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 28 $4 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 28 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 28 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 28 $19 −$18 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 28 $3 +$2 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 28 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 24 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 24 $14 −$13 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 24 $15 +$6 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 24 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $9 +$6 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $3 +$2 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $8 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $17 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $24 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $18 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $13 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $13 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $11 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 705 history records